September 24, 2010

Week 3 NFL picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

It seems that coaches are a lot quicker to grab the hook these days than they have ever been before. A guy named Troy Aikman lead his team to a 1-15 season his first go about. He went on to lead the Cowboys to several Super Bowl titles and is now in the Hall of Fame. Peyton Manning won three games in his first season under centre and now he has a Super Bowl ring and is destined for Canton. So why are coaches like Andy Reid so quick to pull the trigger these days? There will be four new QBs taking over starting duties this week – not including Mike Vick, who is holding off Kevin Kolb – and that is something that just shouldn’t happen in Week 3. Teams need stability, not shakeups this early.

As always, the home teams are in CAPS and the lines are straight from Vegas.

Titans +3 over GIANTS
Tennessee ran into a brick wall last week against Pittsburgh and turned the ball over way too many times. The Giants are hardly a brick wall.

NEW ENGLAND -15.5 over Buffalo
It’s looking more and more like the Bills have the potential to win two games or less. Maybe they should have drafted a QB this season instead of taking another spin on the Trent Edwards-Ryan Fitzpatrick carousel.

BALTIMORE -11 over Cleveland
Joe Flacco has been awful thus far, but can he really be worse at home than Seneca Wallace or Jake Delhomme? Expect Ray Rice to have a big day with plenty of garbage time yards.

Pittsburgh -1 over Tampa Bay
I don’t care if it is Charlie Batch or Byron Leftwich starting at QB for the Steelers, their defence will easily contain the Bucs, who have only looked good against awful teams.

Cincinnati -3 over CAROLINA
Jimmy Clausen may turn out to be a good quarterback in the NFL eventually, but that won’t be the case this week.

NEW ORLEANS -3.5 over Atlanta
The Falcons may have crushed the Cardinals last week, but the Saints playing at home is a much better bet when you consider Atlanta has a tough time against the pass.

KANSAS CITY +1 over San Francisco
The Niners couldn’t win in Week 1 on the road against a raucous crowd, what makes you think they can do it here against a 2-0 team?

Detroit +12.5 over MINNESOTA
There is just something not right about the Vikings. Favre’s looking old and he’s really costing the team games. The Lions look good at scoring points in garbage time too, meaning this won’t be an easy cover.

HOUSTON -2.5 over Dallas
Everyone seems to be concerned by the Cowboys offence, but at least they’re moving the ball, but not scoring. Their pass defence is what concerns me and against the Texans, that’s going to be a huge problem.

Washington -3.5 over ST. LOUIS
The Rams are at least looking more competitive this season, but the Redskins are looking like a team reborn.

Philadelphia -2.5 over JACKSONVILLE
Game 2 of the Michael Vick era. If he keeps on winning, how long can the Eagles really keep Kevin Kolb happy in a backup role and not deal him?

Indianapolis -5.5 over DENVER
The Colts showed they were real by pounding the Giants into submission on Sunday. Also, Denver is dealing with the suicide of one of their players this week, which will only weigh heavily on their minds.

SEATTLE +5.5 over San Diego
The Seahawks home field advantage could rival the one that the Chargers faced in Week 1 at Kansas City. Five and half is a lot to give a strong home team, too.

Oakland +4.5 over ARIZONA
Bruce Gradkowski will get the start for the Raiders and Derek Anderson will get the start for Arizona. When two incompetent QBs meet, take the points.

MIAMI -1 over Jets
Was there anyone happier to hear that Darrelle Revis is out than Brandon Marshall? The Jets defence is falling apart with injuries and Miami has looked really good so far.

Packers -3 over BEARS
Both of these NFC North undefeated rivals collide on Monday Night. Only one of them is for real and I’m betting it’s Green Bay.

Last week: 11-5
This season: 20-12

1 Comment

  1. Do you have a facebook fanpage? Where can i get a link to it?

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