October 8, 2010

NFL Week 5 Picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

So Randy Moss is returning to the Vikings. How often do you see a serious superstar traded mid-season in the NFL? As far as I can remember, it has never happened. You have to believe that Bill Belichick knows something, when you consider that the Patriots and Vikings are facing each other in a few weeks. 

 Moss hasn’t been playing up to his usual dominant self, but then again, he has been upset this entire season with the Pats not offering an extension of any sort. Did the New England brass not realize from his Oakland days that an unhappy Randy is a bad Randy on the field? That should have been very early in the scouting report. 

Now, he gets a down-grade from the ever-efficient Tom Brady to the 40-plus-year-old gunslinger Brett Favre. He also goes from being a tandem with the best possession receiver in the game, to being almost a lone option. But, at least he’ll be happy and he’ll be playing in a dome for his home games and could resurrect his old Vikings form. 

How fast he can learn the playbook and how fast he can adapt to his new team could determine how well he does for the rest of the season, but I actually find his first matchup most interesting. Should they both suit up on Monday night, Moss will be opposite his arch-nemesis, Darrelle Revis.

The home teams are in CAPS and the lines are from Vegas.
 
Denver +7.5 over BALTIMORE
The best passing offence faces the best passing defence and something has to give. The Ravens offence doesn’t look like it has enough to really blow out another semi-strong team.

Jacksonville (pick) over BUFFALO
The Jaguars may be 2-2, but they’re still one of the worst teams out there. But, then again, the Bills are sure to be the absolute worst.

Kansas City +9 over INDIANAPOLIS
The Chiefs are the lone undefeated team left and, coming off a bye, should stay with the Colts long enough to cover a nine-point line.

St. Louis +2.5 over DETROIT
I seriously think that the Rams have an interesting enough defence and decent enough offence to win their poor division. A win over a surprisingly tough Detroit squad won’t come easy, but it will come. Also interesting, the past two No. 1 picks are facing off at QB.

Atlanta -2.5 over CLEVELAND
The Falcons look legit and the Browns are starting a white fullback at running back. This should academic.

Tampa Bay +7 over CINCINNATI
T.O. looked rejuvenated last week but the Bucs are still coming off a bye and shouldn’t be messed with.

Chicago -1.5 over CAROLINA
The Bears ran into a roadblock on Sunday thanks to the Giants killer pass-rush. And I’m not buying that Jay Cutler is really hurt either.

Green Bay -2.5 over WASHINGTON
The Packers run game is abysmal, leaving Brandon Jackson fantasy owners in the lurch. Too bad for the Skins that the Pack passing attack is near top of the line.

HOUSTON -2.5 over New York Giants
The Giants will give the Texans problems with their pass rush, but Houston should be able to counter that with Arian Foster.

New Orleans -7.5 over ARIZONA
Cardinals fans better hope the Max Hall era is better than the Matt Leinart era and the Derek Anderson era. A first start against the defending champs? Good luck.

OAKLAND +7 over San Diego
The Chargers have looked bad on the road this season and the Raiders usually play them tough while at home.

Tennessee +7 over DALLAS
The Titans aren’t a bad team and shouldn’t be getting seven points. The Cowboys might be too relaxed after their bye.

SAN FRANCISCO -3 over Philadelphia
The Eagles line can’t protect a pocket guy like Kevin Kolb. If Mike Vick plays, it’s a whole different story, but it’s looking like Kolb’s starting right now.

NEW YORK JETS -3 over Minnesota
Moss can’t help this team that quickly, but this sure could be a great game.
 
Last week: 7-7
This season: 35-27

1 Comment

  1. Brett Favre really should have simply retired following 2007, would probably still be talked about as the Ol’ Gunslinger

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