December 3, 2010

Schaub stinks and NFL Week 13 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

No commentary today except for the fact that Matt Schaub might be one of the most overrated QBs in the league. Quite simply, he’s not a leader, he’s a fantasy player. He is definitely a guy who you would much rather have starting for your fantasy team than your actual team. Numbers can only get you so far in the NFL. In the show, there’s only one number that really matters and that’s wins.

The lines are straight from Vegas and the home teams are in CAPS

MINNESOTA -5.5 over Buffalo
The Vikings play their first game at home without Brad Childress at the helm. The Bills are a decent spoiler, but the Vikes should be able to run all day on them.

MIAMI -4.5 over Cleveland
Colt McCoy hasn’t been cleared to practice yet, so stay away from the Browns with Jake Delhomme starting.

Jacksonville +3.5 over TENNESSEE
It wasn’t just Rusty Smith who looked bad last week against the Texans; Chris Johnson looked atrocious. The Jags are frisky team coming down the stretch.

KANSAS CITY -10 over Denver
The Broncos blew out the Chiefs in Denver earlier this season and I think that Kansas City will return the favour here.

Washington +8 over NEW YORK GIANTS
The Giants have not played great at their new stadium and are still ailing at the wide receiver position. You have to like the points here.

Chicago -3 over DETROIT
The Lions are going with Drew Stanton at QB, so don’t expect a strong game from Detroit’s passing attack.

San Francisco +10 over GREEN BAY
Troy Smith’s stability is leading the Niners back to the top of the NFC West. SF won’t win, but should keep it within double digits.

New Orleans -7 over CINCINNATI
The Bengals are one of the worst teams against the spread this season and the Saints are improving every week.

Atlanta -2 over TAMPA BAY
This one should be a great game, but the Bucs have yet to beat a real contender.

SAN DIEGO -13.5 over Oakland
Plain and simple, the Chargers own the Raiders and are just too good for them, especially in December.

Carolina +7 over SEATTLE
The Seahawks showed last week that maybe their home-field advantage is a bit overrated. The Cats haven’t looked horrible recently either.

INDIANAPOLIS -5 over Dallas
Now here’s a secondary that Peyton Manning can definitely exploit. The honeymoon’s over for Jason Garrett.

St. Louis -3 over ARIZONA
Sam Bradford is looking pretty legit as an NFL starter. Derek Anderson is not.

BALTIMORE -2.5 over Pittsburgh
Two night games between division rivals and two possible games of the year. The Steelers nearly defeated the Ravens with Charlie Batch at QB earlier this seaosn, but that was in Pittsburgh and there’re a few doubts about Ben Roethlisberger’s foot flying around.
NEW ENGLAND -3.5 over New York Jets
With the Pats and Jets, you have to expect New England to do enough to pull away and stop the cardiac Jets from a late comeback, like they have been doing a lot lately.

This week: 1-0-0
Last week:  8-8-0
This season: 95-78-5

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