October 26, 2012

The greatest fantasy loss of all-time? + Week 8 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

Last week, in my fantasy football league with a group of my friends, we had the closest finish I’ve ever seen in fantasy ball.

Thanks to Matt Stafford, Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte playing on Monday night, “Armando”  seemingly squeaked out a win over “Rob Ford” by a mere .06 points, 111.94-111.88.

Tight eh? In case you don’t follow fantasy, that margin of victory is actually less than a rushing or receiving yard in difference.

Even worse for “Rob Ford,” that total of 111.88 was the second-highest total of week and would have beaten every other team in our league.

But then a funny thing happened. On Wednesday came a stat correction: Stafford’s total was corrected, adding two passing yards and taking away two rushing yards – a net of minus-0.12 points.

Final score: “Rob Ford” 111.88, “Armando” 111.82.

Yes, “Rob Ford” went from a 0.06 loser to a 0.06 winner. And just like that, a whole bunch of emails, texts and comments were fired off about the greatest, tightest game in fantasy NFL history.

Seen a tighter game in your fantasy league or a weirder gutting? Tell me about it in the comments section or tweet me @danbilicki. But now, on to this week’s picks.

The lines are from 5Dimes and the home teams are in ALL CAPS.

ST. LOUIS +7 over New England

The Rams defence should be able to at least keep it close and if worse comes to worst, the Pats will probably give up a late TD for the cover.

Indianapolis +3.5 over TENNESSEE

That extra half-point clinches it for me. I also see Chris Johnson returning to his terrible form.

GREEN BAY -16 over Jacksonville

With Maurice Jones-Drew out and Blaine Gabbert banged up, do you really think that the Jags will be able to manage a back-door cover? Me neither.

San Diego -2.5 over CLEVELAND

The only worry is that the Chargers are playing an early game. Other than that, San Diego should be good coming off the bye.

PHILADELPHIA -2.5 over Atlanta

Andy Reid’s record coming off of a bye has been well-documented and the Falcons run of luck should come an end.

Seattle +1 over DETROIT

The Seahawks have the big, physical corners that will match up well against Calvin Johnson.

Miami +1 over NEW YORK JETS

The Jets had to have the Dolphins miss a field goal in OT to get the win the last time these teams met. This time the Fins get the win.

CHICAGO -9 over Carolina

Cam Newton can only beat bad teams and this Bears squad is among the league’s best.

PITTSBURGH -4.5 over Washington

There has been a bit too much hype around RG3 this week, so he’ll merely be average in this tough game.

KANSAS CITY (pick) over Oakland

The Chiefs have had two weeks to prepare for Carson Palmer and Co. in this division rivalry game.

New York Giants -1 over DALLAS

The Cowboys lit up the Giants third-string defensive backs in their opening win. That’s not happening again.

New Orleans +7 over DENVER

It’s very easy to imagine the Broncos going down big and then coming back, but not covering. It’s their modus operandi.

San Francisco -7 over ARIZONA

Remember when we all thought that the Cardinals might be good enough to make the playoffs and perhaps challenge for the division? That’s not happening any more.

This week: 0-1
Last week: 8-3-2
This season: 46-55-5

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