October 4, 2014

NFL Week 5 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from Vegas and the home teams are in CAPS.

GREEN BAY -8 over Minnesota

In the four Thursday night games –excluding the opener – this season, the average margin of victory has been 28.25 points. That’s an average win by four touchdowns. And who said these games aren’t cash-grabs by the NFL?

Chicago +2.5 over CAROLINA

Darrin Reaves and Fozzy Whitaker: That’s who will be running the ball for Carolina against the improved Bears run defence this week.

Cleveland +1 over TENNESSEE

Surely the worst game of the week. In a toss-up, I’ll go with Brian Hoyer over Jake Locker.

PHILADELPHIA -7.5 over St. Louis

Is Austin Davis winning the QB job really a good thing? The Eagles offence will get back on track at home.

NEW YORK GIANTS -4 over Atlanta

I originally thought the Giants would blow this game with expectations being up, but they’ll be able to run the ball at will against the Falcons.

Tampa Bay +11 over NEW ORLEANS

Are we really sure that the Saints are worthy of this line? I think the safer bet is to take the points.

Houston +7 over DALLAS

When the stakes are raised, the Cowboys usually fold. Although if Arian Foster sits, I’m taking Dallas.

Buffalo +7.5 over DETROIT

Let the Kyle Orton era begin! It can’t be worse than the EJ Manuel era, right? Megatron’s injury is also concerning.

INDIANAPOLIS -3 over Baltimore

The Ravens aren’t the same team on the road and Andrew Luck is becoming a top-5 passer in this league.

Pittsburgh -7 over JACKSONVILLE

What have the Jaguars shown that proves they should be favoured by less than 10 against anyone, even with Blake Bortles starting?

DENVER -8.5 over Arizona

John Skelton starting at Mile High isn’t a recipe for success.

Kansas City +5.5 over SAN FRANCISCO

The Chiefs won’t look as dominant as they did against the Pats, but will be tough out for the Niners.

SAN DIEGO -7.5 over New York Jets

This could be Geno Smith’s last stand and I don’t see it going very well.

Cincinnati (pk) over NEW ENGLAND

It’s risky to bet against the Pats after a loss, but the Bengals are rested and really good.

Seattle -8.5 over WASHINGTON

Kirk Cousins was embarrassed by the Giants at home and now has to face a rested Seahawks squad.

Last week: 6-7

This season: 27-34

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