September 22, 2017

Week 3 NFL picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from Vegas and the home teams in CAPs.

Los Angeles Rams -2 over SAN FRANCISCO

The one thing I didn’t really expect from this game was an offensive outburst like that. Wow. You have to feel sorry for anyone that is facing Todd Gurley in fantasy this week.

Jacksonville +4 over Baltimore in London

The Ravens running game has been great through two games, but they lost all-world guard Marshall Yanda for the season and that will have a big impact. Both teams can play some good defence, so I’ll take the points in what could be a close one.

PHILADELPHIA -6 over New York Giants

There is something deeply wrong with the Giants offence and something has to change – either QB Eli Manning or coach Ben McAdoo. The Eagles played well in K.C. and will look to rebound at home.

NEW ENGLAND -13 over Houston

The Texans just aren’t on the Pats’ level. Bill Belichick feasts on rookie QBs and should give Deshaun Watson more than he can handle while Tom Brady goes to work against a defence he beat by 18 in the playoffs last year.

Atlanta -3 over DETROIT

Is anybody really believing in Detroit yet? The Falcons tour of the NFC North continues and after last week’s impressive prime-time win over the Packers, they should be able to get out to a 3-0 start here.

Denver -3 over BUFFALO

The Broncos just made the Cowboys’ running game look pedestrian – do the Bills have a hope of doing better? After scoring just three points in Carolina, I don’t think so.

Pittsburgh -7.5 over CHICAGO

After a promising Week 1, the Bears showed us what we all thought they were in a big loss to Tampa. With the Steelers coming to town, we expect another walloping for John Fox’s crew.

Miami -6 over NEW YORK JETS

The Dolphins have quietly been on fire in their past 12 regular-season games while using three different QBs. The Jets, on the other hand, have very loudly been a dumpster fire.

Cleveland -1 over INDIANAPOLIS

An early candidate for worst matchup of the season, the Browns are actually favoured on the road. Jacoby Brissett looked better than the Scott Tolzein, but it’s still not good enough to beat a pesky-looking Cleveland team.

New Orleans +6 over CAROLINA

It’s going to take the Panthers some time to adapt to Greg Olsen’s absence. The Saints are fading fast in the NFC’s best division and need to step up in this rivalry game.

Tampa Bay (NL) over MINNESOTA

Even if Sam Bradford is healthy, I like the Bucs here. It’s also kind of weird how much of an impact his absence had on the Vikes last week. But maybe that’s just the Case Keenum effect.

TENNESSEE -2.5 over Seattle

Kansas City -3 over L.A. CHARGERS

The real lack of a home-field advantage hurts the Chargers and any proponent of L.A. football. The Chiefs look to be one of the league’s best teams and should cover this easily.

Cincinnati +9 over GREEN BAY

He might have been a scapegoat, but if firing their offensive co-ordinator doesn’t fire up the Bengals, some real big changes may be coming sooner rather than later. I think the message has been sent and we see a cover here.

Oakland -3 over WASHINGTON

If this was an early game, I’d be tempted to go with the east-cost hosts. But a Sunday nighter surely benefits the Raiders, who should be leaps and bounds above Washington.

ARIZONA +3 over Dallas

The Cowboys got exposed in Denver and their win over the Giants in Week 1 doesn’t look as impressive now. The Cards have their problems, too, but a home dog with a good defence should cover in prime time.

Last week: 12-4

This season: 19-11-1

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