September 21, 2018

NFL Week 3 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from Betway.com and the home teams are in CAPs.

CLEVELAND -3 over New York Jets

The city of Cleveland is drunk on Bud Light after the Browns picked up their first win in 635 days. Perhaps even more incredibly, they covered. Even better than that – or perhaps worse – the Browns still haven’t won on a Sunday since Dec. 13, 2015. But Baker and the boys should get a few more W’s this season.

ATLANTA -3 over New Orleans

There’s something not right about the Saints right now. While Alvin Kamara still scares us – especially with Keanu Neal and Deion Jones out – the defence has certainly regressed.

BALTIMORE -5.5 over Denver

The Broncos are 2-0 based mainly on their home-field advantage and some luck. While there’s not a ton to be excited about from the Ravens, we’ll spot the points to a hobbled Case Keenum playing an early game cross-country.

Cincinnati +3 over CAROLINA

The Panthers offence was better last week, but it’s still not where it needs to be. Facing a frisky-looking Bengals team that is coming in on extra rest shouldn’t get it up to full speed.

New York Giants +6 over HOUSTON

Could this be another Texas nightmare for Eli Manning? Sure. But have the Texans shown that they’re three points better than the Cowboys so far? We don’t think so.

JACKSONVILLE (nl) over Tennessee

There’s no line because of Marcus Mariota, but we can’t see the Titans moving the ball against the Jags either way.

San Francisco +6.5 over KANSAS CITY

The Chiefs are must-watch TV right now, but the big problem is that their defence doesn’t come close to the electric offence. Jimmy G and the Niners almost blew it last week, but can cover here.

MIAMI -3 over Oakland

Can the Dolphins really go 3-0? Thanks to the scheduling gods, yes. The Raiders are improving, but can’t generate a pass rush with Khalil Mack gone and even when Derek Carr completes 90% of his passes, it’s not enough.

MINNESOTA -16.5 over Buffalo

The Bills are simply putrid, with players retiring mid-game, LeSean McCoy hobbled and looking over the hill, and the passing game a work in progress with Josh Allen learning on the job. The Vikings need to bounce back after a tie and the defence playing at home has a good chance of pitching a shutout.

Indianapolis +6.5 over PHILADELPHIA

We’re still not sure that Andrew Luck is back to his old self again, but at least the Colts defence showed some spark last week. The Eagles are getting Carson Wentz back, but everybody else seems to be hurt on offence.

WASHINGTON +3 over Green Bay

We’re used to seeing Alex Smith have off weeks and he’s usually good to bounce back with a decent performance. Aaron Rodgers’ knee is concerning enough to pass on giving points on the road.

L.A. Chargers +7 over L.A. RAMS

The Battle of L.A. is going to be an interesting one with a ton of talent on both sides. The Rams do have an edge after their summer spending spree, but don’t rule out the Chargers. The Rams haven’t beaten anybody talented yet while the Chargers kept it close with the vaunted Chiefs in Week 1. We see a cover in the books.

ARIZONA +6 over Chicago

This is one we could regret, but let’s not gloss over how pedestrian Mitch Trubisky looked most of the game. The Bears defence will show up, but the offence looks questionable on the road.

SEATTLE -1.5 over Dallas

There’s plenty wrong with the Seahawks, but their home-field advantage is real. The Cowboys won last week, but honestly didn’t impress much against the Giants.

DETROIT +6.5 over New England

Do the Pats have what it takes to pull away on offence against a guy that literally saw them practice every day? The Lions trio of receivers with Kenny Golladay emerging will be hard for New England to contain, too.

Pittsburgh -1 over TAMPA BAY

Everybody is excited about the Bucs and Fitzmagic, but can he really do it for the third week in a row? The Steelers have some in-house turmoil, but we have faith in Mike Tomlin to right the ship in prime time.

Last week: 6-9

This season: 16-14-1

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