September 28, 2018

NFL Week 4 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from Betway.com and the home teams are in CAPs.

L.A. RAMS -6.5 over Minnesota

The Rams faced their first true test and passed with flying colours. This team is an offensive juggernaut.

Cincinnati +5.5 over ATLANTA

The Bengals had a setback in the South last week, but with the Falcons defence losing yet another starter, you have to think that A.J. Green and Co. can put up some points under the dome.

Tampa Bay +3 over CHICAGO

Fitzmagic is fading, but we’re just not high on Mitchell Trubisky at all. We know they have to, but how long can the Bears stick with the struggling second-overall pick?

Detroit+3 over DALLAS

The Lions impressed against the Pats, but could be in for a letdown. On the other hand, the Cowboys lack punch on offence and the defence is nothing to write home about. Dallas’ defensive backs could get chewed up by the Lions trio of WRs.

Buffalo +10 over GREEN BAY

We’d be foolish to expect another huge upset from the Bills, but this line seems too high when we know Aaron Rodgers is far less than 100% due to his knee.

INDIANAPOLIS -1 over Houston

Deshaun Watson needs to turn it on if he wants to save coach Bill O’Brien’s job. We’re just not sure that he’s fully back from last year’s ACL tear, though.

JACKSONVILLE -7.5 over New York Jets

With both of the Jags RBs looking like they’ll play, their offence should be much better than the version that scored just six points last week. Most of our early enthusiasm over Sam Darnold has petered out, too.

Miami +6.5 over NEW ENGLAND

Everybody is panicking about the Pats and this pick may seem that way too, but it’s actually a vote of confidence in the surprising Dolphins, who have won 10 of Ryan Tannehill’s past 11 starts.

Philadelphia -4 over TENNESSEE

The Titans haven’t been too bad, but with Carson Wentz back and some nice scheming from two-TE sets, the Eagles are looking to take flight once again.

ARIZONA +3 over Seattle

The Cardinals have looked like the one of the two worst teams in the NFL, but with Josh Rosen, there’s at least hope. We’re also hoping that coach Steve Wilks finally learns how to use David Johnson correctly.

OAKLAND -2.5 over Cleveland

I know we’re all hyped over Baker Mayfield and the Browns getting their first win in what feels like forever, but the Raiders have been close the past two weeks and should come through and give Jon Gruden his first win in a decade.

L.A. CHARGERS -10.5 over San Francisco

The Chargers couldn’t hang with the Rams last week, but against a Garoppolo-less Niners team, they should be able to run up the score.

NEW YORK GIANTS +3.5 over New Orleans

The Saints are certainly better than the Giants, but Eli and Co. have a habit of scoring a nice upset or two per season. New Orleans’ defence can also be exploited by the Giants.

PITTSBURGH -3 over Baltimore

The Steelers – and Big Ben in particular – are a better team at home. This should be a nasty game between two legit rivals, but the Steelers’ offensive power can’t be ignored.

Kansas City -4.5 over DENVER

The Chiefs are an offensive juggernaut right now and the Broncos defence has shown it can’t handle passing attacks very well. Can Case Keenum expose the shaky Chiefs defence? That might be a stretch.

Last week: 10-5

This season: 26-19-1

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