October 5, 2018

NFL Week 5 picks

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from Betway.com and the home teams in CAPs.

NEW ENGLAND -10.5 over Indianapolis

It turns out that when you don’t have your top receiver, tight end, running back, two tackles and most of your secondary, you don’t really stand a chance against a team like the Pats.

CAROLINA -7 over New York Giants

The Giants were just gashed by Alvin Kamara at home and now must travel to face a well-rested RB in the same vein, Christian McCaffery. Even with all their weapons, the Giants can never seem to put up big numbers.

CINCINNATI -6.5 over Miami

The Dolphins were exposed by the Pats last week and now travel to face a Bengals team that is arguably better – and they’re getting Vontaze Burfict back from suspension.

CLEVELAND +3 over Baltimore

Baker Mayfield gets his first start at home and the crowd should be electric. We think this will be a close one, even if the Ravens are the more talented team.

Green Bay -1 over DETROIT

The Packers seem very hit-or-miss, but so do the Lions. Over the past decade, the Pack have owned Detroit.

BUFFALO +5 over Tennessee

The Bills may have been shutout last week, but have shown small signs of life. The Titans aren’t exactly a powerhouse and we wouldn’t trust them laying more than a field goal on the road against anyone.

Jacksonville +3 over KANSAS CITY

Is this an AFC Championship Game preview? It might be and the Jags seemingly have all the tools to stop the Chiefs’ high-powered offence. We haven’t seen Patrick Mahomes fail yet, but this might be the first.

Denver +1 over NEW YORK JETS

The Jets haven’t shown any of the magic from Week 1 in the past three games. The Broncos will look to bounce back from a tough loss on Monday night.

Atlanta +3 over PITTSBURGH

Both sides have been awful on defence, meaning this game could be a shootout. In that case, we’re more inclined to take the points and the team that’s seemingly not in turmoil.

Oakland +5.5 over L.A. CHARGERS

Should the Chargers be giving this many points in a divisional game? They lack a true home-field advantage and the Raiders turned things around last week with their OT win.

Minnesota +3 over PHILADELPHIA

If the Viking lose their third in a row, it’ll be a hard road back to the playoffs in the NFC. The Eagles aren’t flying so high, either, even with Carson Wentz back.

Arizona +4.5 over SAN FRANCISCO

We’re highly skeptical to be giving anything more than the customary field goal advantage with the Niners. The Cards are by no means a good team, but looked much better with Josh Rosen starting.

Los Angeles Rams -7 over SEATTLE

It’s a lot of points to give up on the road against a division rival that’s good at home, but we can’t stay away from a Rams team that’s coming off a 10-day layoff and firing on all cylinders.

HOUSTON -3 over Dallas

The Battle of Texas will likely lack excitement. It’s hard to back the Cowboys without Sean Lee playing, even if Ezekiel Elliott is running at full steam.

Washington +6.5 over NEW ORLEANS

With a bye week to prepare, underrated Washington should be able to put up some points and hang with a defence-less Saints team.

Last week: 4-9-2

This season: 30-28-3

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