December 6, 2019

NFL Week 14 selections

by Dan Bilicki In: Football, Picks

The lines are from oddsshark.com and the home teams are in CAPs.

Dallas -3 over CHICAGO

The Cowboys did too little, way too late. But, somehow, Dallas is still in a playoff spot.

GREEN BAY -13 over Washington

Washington is on a two-game winning streak and that just won’t last. The Packers just roasted the Giants on the road and should do the same at home against another NFC East foe.

Denver +9 over HOUSTON

Drew Lock is just fine. He made some throws but it was mainly just Courtland Sutton being incredible in the rookie QB’s debut. But, Denver’s defence is no joke and could cause the Texans problems. Houston is riding high, but here is a spot for a combo letdown/trap game, with Tennessee on tap next week in a massive AFC South tilt.

Detroit +13 over MINNESOTA

The Vikings will surely win this game, but the question is by how much. Detroit rarely loses by more than one score and has four extra days of prep over Minnesota, which played Monday night on the west coast.

NEW ORLEANS -2.5 over San Francisco

We’re not discounting a 49ers team that might be the second best in the NFL, but giving fewer than three points with the Saints at home rarely happens when they’re healthy. There could be a playoff bye and home-field advantage at stake here, so expect a great, close game.

Carolina +3 over ATLANTA

With Ron Rivera gone and Cam Newton’s season officially over, the tide has turned in Carolina. The Panthers are all playing for jobs next year and should be looking to impress.

BUFFALO +6 over Baltimore

The Ravens are a great team while the Bills have only seemingly beaten the lesser-lights of the league to prop up their record. But Buffalo is as well-coached as they come and it could be a decent play to take nearly a touchdown at home.

CLEVELAND -8.5 over Cincinnati

The Bengals found new life with Andy Dalton last week as the ginger QB is basically playing for a job next year. The Browns are a trainwreck, but with everyone off of the bandwagon, there could be some value here despite the high line.

NEW YORK JETS -5.5 over Miami

The Jets are about as hot and cold as they come. Beat the Raiders one week, lose to the winless Bengals the next. The Dolphins have historically not done well in cold weather on the road and the Jets should be looking for revenge after an earlier loss.

TAMPA BAY -3 over Indianapolis

The Colts will look to rush the ball with Marlon Mack returning, but will hit the brick wall known as the Bucs run defence. Indy is banged-up and will be without T.Y. Hilton again, limiting its ability to exploit Tampa’s poor pass defence.

L.A. Chargers -3 over JACKSONVILLE

Gardner Minshew mania is back, but don’t let that distract you from how poorly the Jags have played. There are issues all over the field and Myles Jack was put on IR this week. While you may balk at the Chargers flying to the East Coast, this game is in the late-afternoon window, which should affect body clocks.

Tennessee -2.5 over OAKLAND

The Raiders offence has really stalled recently, all but ending any shot at the playoffs. The Titans, on the other hand, have been fantastic since installing Ryan Tannehill as QB. Derrick Henry has been unstoppable, as well.

Pittsburgh -2.5 over ARIZONA

Do you believe in Duck Hodges? Actually, yes, we do. He’s at least competent enough to not kill the Steelers, a team with terrific defence that should cause headaches for a Cardinals team on the slide.

NEW ENGLAND -3 over Kansas City

It’s when your count out the Patriots that they make you pay the most. The Chiefs are getting very thin at RB and their defence is easily exploitable. New England has had its issues, but losing streaks are quite rare for Bill Belichick and Co.

Seattle -1 over L.A. RAMS

It’s hard to buy that the Rams are back after just one win – at lowly Arizona, no less. Josh Gordon has yet to lose a game this season and we should see Seattle win a close one on the road here.

New York Giants +9.5 over PHILADELPHIA

Could Eli Manning’s return actually be a good thing for the Giants? It’s not like Daniel Jones is providing much more than turnovers while the Eagles just can’t seem to put a full game together.

Last week: 10-6

This season: 103-82-2

Leave a Reply