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	<title>Running The Point</title>
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	<link>http://runningthepoint.com</link>
	<description>an opinionated sports blog</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 19:39:55 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>The big pick for the big game</title>
		<link>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/02/03/the-big-pick-for-the-big-game/ </link>
		<comments>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/02/03/the-big-pick-for-the-big-game/ #comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 19:39:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Bilicki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Picks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://runningthepoint.com/2012/02/03/the-big-pick-for-the-big-game/ </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It’s the finale of the football season. It’s the biggest game in the world – well, maybe just North America, but you get the point. It’s the Super Bowl.
This year’s game is a rematch of a classic from just four years ago, when – I’m sure you’ve heard by now – the New York Giants [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It’s the finale of the football season. It’s the biggest game in the world – well, maybe just North America, but you get the point. It’s the Super Bowl.</p>
<p>This year’s game is a rematch of a classic from just four years ago, when – I’m sure you’ve heard by now – the New York Giants ended the New England Patriots’ perfect season. It’s really a shame that this game will be compared to that Super Bowl, since we have a potential classic brewing that can easily stand on its own in the annals of time.</p>
<p>On one side, we have Tom Brady. Everybody’s favourite pretty-boy quarterback who is looking to win his fourth Super Bowl and tie Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw’s record. He can also break Montana’s record for playoff wins by claiming victory on Sunday.</p>
<p>His Patriots squad features Rob Gronkowski, a tight end that set just about every receiving record at his position this season, including leading the league in touchdowns. On his worst days, he’s still a matchup nightmare. The only break that the Giants get by facing him now is that he’ll be slightly hobbled by a high ankle sprain suffered in the Conference Championship game.</p>
<p>Don’t forget about Wes Welker either. He has been one of the most consistent targets as a receiver in the entire league since coming to New England and is threat to get a first down on any play.</p>
<p>On the other side of the ball, there’s Eli Manning. He’s trying desperately to step out of his big brother’s shadow and now he gets a chance to win his second Super Bowl while playing in Peyton’s (soon to be former) home stadium.</p>
<p>He has two amazing playmakers at receiver in Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz. Both have shown in recent weeks that they can turn any catch – even a simple seven-yard slant – into a massive gain. These guys routinely take poor-tackling secondaries to school.</p>
<p>The G-Men’s running game should not be overlooked either, with Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs aptly carrying the ball recently. If they can establish the ground game, the Pats could be in trouble.</p>
<p>Both of these offences can shred opponents, and that’s why this game’s decisive factor should come from the defensive side of the ball.</p>
<p>It has been well documented how dominant the Giants’ pass rush can be and how that allows them to create pressure while only rushing four. That, of course, allows them to drop more players into coverage and frustrate opposing receivers. But is it a guarantee that they can do so against an offensive line as strong as the Pats and a quarterback as smart and quick as Brady? I’m not so sure.</p>
<p>When the Patriots are on defence, well, let’s put it this way: If New England wins, they will boast the worst defence to ever win a Super Bowl – by a large margin.</p>
<p>Even so, they have looked good so far in the playoffs and they’re getting key contributions from guys like Julian Edelman (a wide receiver) and Sterling Moore (cut from the Raiders’ practice squad).</p>
<p>Also, it can’t be discounted that Bill Belichick is one of the most brilliant minds in football, leaps and bounds ahead of the league – including Tom Coughlin.</p>
<p>So how do you pick against one of those two teams? Well, in a couple of now-famous words “Nobody believes in us.” Ever since betting began on this game, everybody has been pounding the Giants, almost immediately lowering the line from 3.5. It even dipped to 2.5 on some boards. So why no love for a team that has only lost three games all season? It’s because the Giants are the hot, chic team. Well, after two weeks to sit down and think about it, the pressure should be on New York.</p>
<p>A Patriots win here would be the picture perfect end to their story: They redeem themselves for the “18-and-none” season, they do so in the city of another recent heartbreak, they crush their rival’s little brother and all after Tom Brady gets dressed sitting at Peyton Manning’s locker.</p>
<p>It’s not quite a Tim Tebow-level miracle script, but it’s damn good and I’m willing to follow it.</p>
<p>The pick: New England -3<br />
The score: Patriots 24, Giants 20<br />
The playoffs: 5-5<br />
Regular season: 131-120-2</p>
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		<title>You call that a spectacle, NHL?</title>
		<link>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/30/you-call-that-a-spectacle-nhl/ </link>
		<comments>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/30/you-call-that-a-spectacle-nhl/ #comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 18:55:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Bilicki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ice Hockey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/30/you-call-that-a-spectacle-nhl/ </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For something that was supposed to be a showcase of the league&#8217;s talent, what NHL all-star game viewers got on Sunday was a load of half-assed crap.
I understand that players are not going to go out in an exhibition game with the same intensity as a game against a division rival, but this was pathetic.
Every [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For something that was supposed to be a showcase of the league&#8217;s talent, what NHL all-star game viewers got on Sunday was a load of half-assed crap.</p>
<p>I understand that players are not going to go out in an exhibition game with the same intensity as a game against a division rival, but this was pathetic.</p>
<p>Every player seemed to be coasting around, barely making any effort at all. When in defence that is understandable, but even on offence everybody looked lax.</p>
<p>But still, there were so many 2-on-1s, 3-on-1s and even the occasional 4-on-1 that it was like we were watching the end of team practice.</p>
<p>How can watching this crap be good for the game of hockey? Guys moving at half-speed, zero contact and everybody trying to show off by making two passes too many.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s time for this game to mean something, but that&#8217;s impossible to do unless you go to the MLB&#8217;s format of deciding home-field advantage for the final via the all-star result. That won&#8217;t work because of the current fantasy draft format, something that is currently the most interesting thing that NHL all-star weekend has going for it.</p>
<p>And as for Sunday&#8217;s other all-star game — the NFL&#8217;s Pro Bowl — don&#8217;t even get me started on that. At least the players involved get a free week&#8217;s worth of vacation in Hawaii as a reward. I&#8217;m sure anybody in the world would rather be in Honolulu than Ottawa.</p>
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		<title>Kudos to you, Alex Ovechkin</title>
		<link>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/25/kudos-to-you-alex-ovechkin/ </link>
		<comments>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/25/kudos-to-you-alex-ovechkin/ #comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 16:01:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Bilicki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ice Hockey]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/25/kudos-to-you-alex-ovechkin/ </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When it comes to the NHL all-star, I really couldn&#8217;t care less. Even with their dynamite idea to have the stars themselves divide up the teams, I still wasn&#8217;t interested in watching their mid-season spectacle. I did thoroughly enjoy watch Phil Kessel be picked last a year ago in Carolina, but that&#8217;s something else.
There&#8217;s maybe [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When it comes to the NHL all-star, I really couldn&#8217;t care less. Even with their dynamite idea to have the stars themselves divide up the teams, I still wasn&#8217;t interested in watching their mid-season spectacle. I did thoroughly enjoy watch Phil Kessel be picked last a year ago in Carolina, but that&#8217;s something else.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s maybe one all-star that is ever worth watching and that&#8217;s the MLB&#8217;s mid-summer classic — and even that&#8217;s not very good. The NBA&#8217;s version is dreadful thanks to a complete willingness by everyone involved to play zero defence. As the NFL&#8217;s Pro Bowl — also going on Sunday — don&#8217;t even get me started.</p>
<p>But Alex Ovechkin did something completely admirable this year by voluntarily sitting it out. It&#8217;s not very often you see a player give up the chance to soak in his stardom for an entire weekend.</p>
<p>You see, Ovie is currently suspended for a launching himself into a hit on Penguins defenceman Zbynek Michalek and is banned for three games. That period of time happens to run over the all-star break. So his logic is that he shouldn&#8217;t even be eligible to play, even though he is.</p>
<p>So now some other lucky player will get the chance to strut his stuff in this showcase. I don&#8217;t know even who, but congrats to them. And really, with the Great Eight currently ranking only tied fir 36th in the league with 39 points, did he even deserve to go? But that&#8217;s a question for someone else to answer.</p>
<p>Now, here&#8217;s the main thing: If Ovechkin had been voted to play in the game by the fans, then I&#8217;d have a problem with him skipping it for a weekend off.</p>
<p>Then, he would be depriving the fans of a player they really wanted to see in this spectacle; a guy that always puts on a great show in the game and especially in the Skills Competition.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a good thing that those fans in Ottawa stuffed the ballot boxes to see four of their own start the game, eh?</p>
<p>PS. Speaking about him taking a weekend off, wouldn&#8217;t it be something if that&#8217;s all that he really wanted? Or how about if this was his way of protesting his suspension? Telling the league how he really felt about his three-game ban by sitting out their money-making exhibition is not something I&#8217;d put past him.</p>
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		<title>Baltimore and San Fran get their scapegoats</title>
		<link>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/23/baltimore-and-san-fran-get-their-scapegoats/ </link>
		<comments>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/23/baltimore-and-san-fran-get-their-scapegoats/ #comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 20:02:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Bilicki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Picks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://runningthepoint.com/?p=2287</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My uneducated guess is that late on Sunday afternoon, in the Baltimore area and in the living rooms of Ravens fans everywhere, the name Billy Cundiff was probably shortened into a very similar sounding swear.
Later in the evening, across the country, San Francisco residents and 49ers fans were probably attaching a few nasty adjectives to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My uneducated guess is that late on Sunday afternoon, in the Baltimore area and in the living rooms of Ravens fans everywhere, the name Billy Cundiff was probably shortened into a very similar sounding swear.</p>
<p>Later in the evening, across the country, San Francisco residents and 49ers fans were probably attaching a few nasty adjectives to the name of backup return man Kyle Williams.</p>
<p>Those, right there were the two goats that essentially cost their teams a chance at playing in the Super Bowl.</p>
<p>Granted, those plays cost their teams their respective conference championships, but there is one thing that few are bringing up: Cundiff’s kick would only have taken their game to overtime. There was no guarantee that A) the Ravens would even get the ball or B) that Joe Flacco could do anything with it if he did.</p>
<p>On the drive that led to Cundiff’s terrible shank left, Flacco and Co. had several chances to punch it into the endzone and couldn’t do it. Including a ball caught by Lee Evans and then batted out of his hands just in time – great defensive play by the way. This game could have played out like it should have, Tom Brady could have marched down the field in overtime and scored, then who would be to blame?</p>
<p>At least in this scenario, the Ravens now have a scapegoat and Cowboys fans (Cundiff used to kick for Dallas) get a little I-told-you-so redemption.</p>
<p>Williams, on the other hand, should just be hanging his head. First, he booted a punt that was recovered by the Giants in the fourth quarter, leading to score. Then, in overtime, he fumbled a return that would lead to the game-winning field goal.</p>
<p>Niners fans have to playing the what-if game in their heads right now, wondering if they’d be booking a trip to Indianapolis if Ted Ginn was in the lineup instead of injured on the sidelines.</p>
<p>So, prepare for two weeks full of rematch and redemption talk. It’s the Patriots facing the Giants, who ruined their perfect season in the Super Bowl a mere four years ago.</p>
<p>This week: 0-2<br />
The playoffs: 5-5</p>
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		<title>Who&#8217;s going to the Super Bowl?</title>
		<link>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/20/whos-going-to-the-super-bowl/ </link>
		<comments>http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/20/whos-going-to-the-super-bowl/ #comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 20:24:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dan Bilicki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Picks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://runningthepoint.com/2012/01/20/whos-going-to-the-super-bowl/ </guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It’s the second biggest day on the football calendar this Sunday, so let’s not mince words and just get to the picks.
NEW ENGLAND -7 over Baltimore
Let’s face it; there is no team that can cover the Patriots two amazing tight ends. If there was one, it could have been the Ravens of a few years [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It’s the second biggest day on the football calendar this Sunday, so let’s not mince words and just get to the picks.</p>
<p>NEW ENGLAND -7 over Baltimore<br />
Let’s face it; there is no team that can cover the Patriots two amazing tight ends. If there was one, it could have been the Ravens of a few years ago, when Ray Lewis was a few years younger and Ed Reed wasn’t as consistently banged up. In fact, it’s almost a certainty that Reed will not be 100% for Sunday.</p>
<p>If there’s one thing to worry about, it’s that the Patriots have not beaten a winning team all season. That is unless you include the Broncos last week, who were technically 9-8, but 8-8 in the regular season.</p>
<p>But then you have to figure how bad the Ravens were away from Baltimore. They went 8-0 at home, but were a weak 4-4 on the road, including a loss at Jacksonville of all places.</p>
<p>The Pats defence was terrible in the regular season, but looked to have really come together last week. It’s not like the Ravens offence is very tough to contain either. Just keep Ray Rice in check, stop Torrey Smith when he goes deep and watch for screens. That seems like the only ways they can move the ball.</p>
<p>And if you’re picking the Ravens to win on Sunday, all you have to remember is that you’re betting against Tom Brady at home. That should be enough said.</p>
<p>SAN FRANCISCO -2.5 over New York Giants<br />
Think about the how the playoffs work and how the Super Bowl usually turns out. How many times do we really get that perfect matchup? The one with all the season-long storylines that come together or a possible rematch of a classic past game usually never happens. So that’s why the 49ers will win on Sunday.</p>
<p>That would deny of us of two potential Super Bowl rematches involving the Giants, including the one that everyone wants to see: New York taking on New England.</p>
<p>But this isn’t just a pick because of that storyline; the Niners are talented enough to win this game. They’ve already beaten the Giants at Candlestick once this season and they’re defence is among the best in football.</p>
<p>The Giants are in peak form, but I don’t see them being able to break huge plays thanks to sloppy tackling. That is the huge reason why Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks were able to make those massive gains was because their opponents had terrible form when trying to take them down.</p>
<p>The Niners’ offensive line is also strong enough to contain New York’s vaunted pass rush. They’ll have to bring some blitzes in order to get consistent pressure on Alex Smith.</p>
<p>And don’t think that John Harbaugh isn’t playing the ‘Nobody believes in us’ card. This game is tailor-made for it and the Giants should be coming in overconfident after beating Green Bay last week.</p>
<p>Last week: 2-2<br />
The playoffs: 5-3</p>
<p><em>Follow me on Twitter @danbilicki</em></p>
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