The lines are from oddsshark.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
HOUSTON -3.5 over Indianapolis
A nice, tight game for the AFC South division lead. A last-second field goal attempt would’ve helped gamblers, but you can’t complain with the game on the line.
CHICAGO -6 over New York Giants
Even with the threat of Mitchell Trubisky playing (he’s practising, but is day to day), isn’t enough to back the Giants on the road against a decent defence. Although seeing New York coming off a bye does cause some hesitation.
NEW ORLEANS -9.5 over Carolina
Kyle Allen has seemingly been figured out, looking pretty bad in the past few contests. The Saints are among the class of the NFC and are getting healthier. As long as they can keep Christian McCaffrey out of the end zone, it should be an easy cover.
Denver +4 over BUFFALO
Sure, the Broncos blew a 20-point lead last week, but let’s not forget one thing: It built a 20-point lead on the road against a team much better than the Bills. If Denver can learn from its mistakes, a cover on the road shouldn’t be a too tough of an ask.
CINCINNATI +7 over Pittsburgh
The Bengals are spiraling towards the first-overall pick, but have this rivalry game in the way. Cincy should put up a fight against a Steelers team that has been awful on offence most of the season. W’re not jumping to spot seven on the road with Mason Rudolph.
CLEVELAND -10.5 over Miami
While many will think the Browns will be distracted after last week’s helmet-swinging incident, it may serve to help this team jell. The pass rush should struggle with Myles Garrett suspended, but the offence has looked better with Kareem Hunt in the fold. The Fins have played hard, but can you trust a Miami-based team in some cold weather?
ATLANTA -4.5 over Tampa Bay
The Falcons have come alive, especially on defence, thanks somewhat to ex-Bucs coach Raheem Morris. Tampa could use a little help with their pass defence right now, too. Julio Jones has feasted on the Bucs defence in the past and should light it up again.
Detroit -3.5 over WASHINGTON
Hot take: Jeff Driskel is better than Dwayne Haskins Jr. OK, that might not even be that hot. Washington as a tire fire and shouldn’t be trusted, even getting points at home.
NEW YORK JETS +3 over Oakland
The Raiders put themselves into an early season hole due to their poor play on the road. Now, they’re in for another early East Coast start. The Jets are nothing special, but taking points at home eases the pain.
Seattle +1.5 over PHILADELPHIA
If Carson Wentz had Russell Wilson’s receivers, we’d consider backing the home team here. Seattle comes off their bye and has to fly cross-coast. But the numbers actually back Seattle in early start times going back a couple years, which assuages our biggest fear in this one.
TENNESSEE -3 over Jacksonville
Nick Foles’ return to action did not impress. The Titans have been playing well with Ryan Tannehill in and we could definitely see Derrick Henry have a big game against these familiar foes.
NEW ENGLAND -6.5 over Dallas
With some bad weather in the forecast, this game should play out more in the Patriots’ favour thanks to their stellar defence. Tom Brady could bounce back against a struggling Cowboys pass defence and the coaching matchup leans heavily towards the Pats. Dallas hasn’t beaten a solid team this season yet, either.
Green Bay +3 over SAN FRANCISCO
The Packers come off their bye with a big matchup flexed into prime time. The Niners were a bit fortunate against the Cards last week and should have their hands full with a fresh Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams at 100%.
Baltimore -3 over L.A. RAMS
The Ravens are as hot as they come right now while the Rams did exactly dominate on the scoreboard against Trubisky’s Bears last week. It’s risky giving points on the road in prime time, but Lamar Jackson has earned his reputation. Jared Goff will be squaring off against a Ravens defence that has been getting better by the week since adding Marcus Peters from L.A.
Last week: 7-6
This season: 87-68-2