The lines are from covers.com and the home teams in CAPs.
San Francisco -3.5 over TENNESSEE
A.J. Brown vs. Deebo Samuel is one hell of a WR showdown.
GREEN BAY -7.5 over Cleveland
The Browns nearly eked on out last week with a third-string QB and many players out with COVID, but it won’t matter here. They’re on a shorter week than the Packers, who had some trouble with the Ravens, but are sure to adapt.
Indianapolis +1 over ARIZONA
The Colts running game is about as good as it gets while the Cards have been struggling to stop the ground game compared to air attacks. With Kyler Murray still not looking 100%, we’ll take the slight road dogs.
CAROLINA +10.5 over Tampa Bay
The Bucs got about as banged-up as you can last week, losing their top two WRs and top RB as well. The Panthers are a mess coming down the stretch and have little chance of actually winning, but a cover is in the works.
New York Giants +10.5 over PHILADELPHIA
The Giants seemingly had the secret sauce when they held down the Eagles offence a few weeks back. There’s no reason to think that forcing Jalen Hurts to throw more than pass won’t make this close again.
L.A. Chargers -9.5 over HOUSTON
We were already leaning towards the superior Chargers, who play better on the road, before learning that the Texans could be without their top offensive weapon, Brandin Cooks. This could get ugly.
Detroit +5.5 over ATLANTA
The Lions are actually coming together and it’s in big part because of their line play. They’ll hold a big advantage in that area against the Falcons this week.
CINCINNATI -2.5 over Baltimore
A potential battle for the AFC North title, the Bengals dominated this matchup earlier this season when the Ravens were at lot healthier. While we’d bet this is a closer game, we’d lean towards the Bengals.
L.A. RAMS -3 over Minnesota
While the Rams have Jalen Ramsey to help deal with Justin Jefferson, the Vikes have no such answer for Cooper Kupp. L.A. has been rolling down the stretch, despite dealing with several COVID absences.
NEW YORK JETS -2.5 over Jacksonville
Neither team has much incentive to win, but the Jags can clinch the first overall pick with a loss here. While they might mess that up, too, there were some promising signs against Miami last week.
Buffalo +2.5 over NEW ENGLAND
The Bills may have actually been the better team during these teams’ first meeting, which was tremendously impacted by the weather. With the conditions a lot better this time out, Buffalo could exact some revenge.
Chicago +6.5 over SEATTLE
Both teams are on short weeks, but the Seahawks were more impacted due to COVID, which is a bad sign. This should be a defensive struggle, so taking the points seems prudent.
KANSAS CITY -8 over Pittsburgh
We’re a bit shook by the Chiefs’ COVID cases, but you can’t trust the Steelers. Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread after a win this entire season.
Denver +1 over LAS VEGAS
Look, we’re not fans of betting on Drew Lock, but teams coming off COVID-impacted games like the Raiders are had awful records the following week last year.
Washington +10.5 over DALLAS
The Cowboys did it with defence against the Football Team just a few weeks back and we’re not counting on another four-turnover day. Getting Taylor Heinicke back should help the visitors get a backdoor cover, at least.
Miami +3 over NEW ORLEANS
The Saints are looking likely to start rookie Ian Book at QB and that should play right into the hands of a Dolphins team that has been exploiting poor offences during their winning streak.
Last week: 11-5
This week: 105-118-1