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FANTASY FOOTBALL: Justin Jefferson is top WR and a potential first-overall pick

Thanks to the increase in passing, high-end wide receivers have become just as important as running backs in drafts, but WRs are actually much more stable. In fact, of the top 10 WRs taken last year by ADP, eight of them finished in the top 10.

1. Justin Jefferson, MIN

128 receptions, 1809 receiving yards, 8 TDs, 304.6 points.

Had seven games with 30+ PPR points and has 600 more yards than anyone over his first three seasons.

2. Ja’Marr Chase, CIN

87 receptions, 1046 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 202.9 points.

Despite missing five games, Chase finished as WR12 and was third in red-zone targets.

3. Cooper Kupp, LAR

75 receptions, 812 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 165.9 points.

A high-ankle sprain ended his season after nine games, but Kupp actually had the highest PPG average among WRs at 18.4.

4. Tyreek Hill, MIA

119 receptions, 1710 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 287.7 points.

Despite playing on a new team and with three different QBs, Hill set career highs in catches and yardage.

5. Stefon Diggs, BUF

108 receptions, 1429 receiving yards, 11 TDs, 262.6 points.

During his three seasons in Buffalo, Diggs has 338 total receptions, nearly 4,200 yards and 29 TDs.

6. Davante Adams, LV

100 receptions, 1516 receiving yards, 14 TDs, 285.5 points.

His target share of 32.3% was the highest in the league last year, but he’s now 31 and his QB situation is dicey.

7. Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET

106 receptions, 1161 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 214.6 points.

Since his breakout in Week 13 of 2021, only Jefferson and Adams have more points since than St. Brown.

8. A.J. Brown, PHI

88 receptions, 1496 receiving yards, 11 TDs, 259.6 points.

He was good for the Titans but the Eagles unleashed the fourth-year WR to become one of the league’s best.

9. CeeDee Lamb, DAL

107 receptions, 1359 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 248.1 points.

Production took another big leap in his third year, which was his first as Dallas’ top target.

10. Jaylen Waddle, MIA

75 receptions, 1356 receiving yards, 8 TDs, 223.7 points.

Almost doubled his yards per catch in his sophomore season and likely is the best WR2 in the league.

11. Garrett Wilson, NYJ

83 receptions, 1103 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 176.2 points.

Last year’s offensive rookie of the year now has a former MVP throwing him the ball – watch out.

12. DeVonta Smith, PHI

95 receptions, 1196 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 209.1 points.

If you were to only count the first three quarters of games, Smith was WR12.

13. Chris Olave, NO

72 receptions, 1042 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 166.2 points.

Had more than double the receiving yards of the Saints next-best option, but lack of TDs hurt in fantasy.

14. DK Metcalf, SEA

90 receptions, 1048 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 185.8 points.

Has seen his yards per receptions drop the past two seasons but his targets and receptions reached a career high.

15. Tee Higgins, CIN

74 receptions, 1029 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 183.9 points.

Incredibly talented and has a high floor, but his fantasy potential is limited due to lining up across from Chase.

16. Amari Cooper, CLE

78 receptions, 1160 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 208 points.

Entering his ninth NFL season, Cooper could reach new heights if Deshaun Watson pans out at QB.

17. Calvin Ridley, JAX

Did not play in 2022 (suspended)

Hasn’t played in a regular-season game since Oct. 2021, but has looked the part as a WR1 in camp.

18. Tyler Lockett, SEA

84 receptions, 1033 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 199.3 points.

Despite being far less hyped than teammate Metcalf, the vet has outscored him in points per game in PPR every year.

19. Deebo Samuel, SF

56 receptions, 632 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 144.4 points.

Remains a versatile threat in the running game, but his numbers fell off dramatically from 2021 to 2022.

20. Keenan Allen, LAC

66 receptions, 752 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 133 points.

After missing two games total in the previous five seasons, Allen missed six last year and is now 31 years old.

21. Diontae Johnson, PIT

86 receptions, 882 receiving yards, 137.7 points.

His 147 targets (tied for seventh in the league) and 86 receptions were the most ever for a player without scoring a TD.

22. DeAndre Hopkins, TEN

64 receptions, 717 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 121.7 points.

Entering his 11th season and just turned 31. Only two WRs who were 31+ last year had more than 500 yards.

23. Drake London, ATL

72 receptions, 866 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 148.6 points.

Has the talent to make a leap in his sophomore season, but the Falcons’ offence remains run-centric.

24. Christian Watson, GB

41 receptions, 611 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 143.6 points.

Scored eight of his TDs during a explosive four-game stretch and could see a dropoff in QB play from Rodgers to Love.

25. Chris Godwin, TB

104 receptions, 1023 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 174.8 points.

Now entering his second season after a torn ACL, Godwin could be a borderline WR1 despite poor QB play.

26. DJ Moore, CHI

63 receptions, 888 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 167.6 points.

He goes from being the top WR for the mediocre Panthers to the top WR in the most run-heavy offence in the NFL.

27. Brandon Aiyuk, SF

78 receptions, 1015 receiving yards, 8 TDs, 190.8 points.

With Samuel and George Kittle missing some time, Aiyuk set career highs in receptions, targets, yards and TDs.

28. Terry McLaurin, WAS

77 receptions, 1191 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 190.5 points.

With three straight 1,000-yard seasons, has a high floor but also a low ceiling in fantasy.

29. Michael Pittman Jr., IND

99 receptions, 925 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 169 points.

Took a step back last year after a breakout sophomore campaign and should remain the top WR in Colts’ run-heavy offence.

30. Mike Evans, TB

77 receptions, 1124 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 186.9 points.

Somehow kept his 1,000-yard streak alive despite getting four or fewer receptions in eight games.

31. George Pickens, PIT

52 receptions, 801 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 140.5 points.

We know he’s capable of highlight-reel grabs and looks to be on his way to stardom.

32. Jahan Dotson, WAS

35 receptions, 523 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 113.1 points.

Had the seventh-best yards per route run in the last month of the season and was first rookie with 7+ TDs in fewer than 14 games since Odell Beckham.

33. Mike Williams, LAC

63 receptions, 895 receiving yards, 4 TDs, 145 points.

Struggles with week-to-week consistency, racking up four 100-yard games but also four with 17 or fewer yards.

34. Jerry Jeudy, DEN

67 receptions, 972 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 170.7 points.

A pre-season hamstring injury could keep him out for a few weeks to start the season and tend to linger.

35. Marquise Brown, ARI

67 receptions, 709 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 122.5 points.

He’s the top target in Arizona, but has one of the worst QB situations in the league until Kyler Murray returns.

36. Jordan Addison, MIN

2023 rookie

Steps into the starting lineup opposite the league’s best WR and into a role that got Adam Thielen 107 targets last year.

37. Christian Kirk, JAX

84 receptions, 1108 receiving yards, 8 TDs, 201.9 points.

Lived up to his big contract last season, but is likely in for a smaller role this season with Ridley aboard.

38. Gabe Davis, BUF

48 receptions, 836 receiving yards, 7 TDs, 149.6 points.

Fell well short of expectations last year after an excellent playoffs the previous year.

39. Treylon Burks, TEN

33 receptions, 444 receiving yards, 1 TD, 77.6 points.

Struggled through an injury-riddled rookie season and now has to contend with Hopkins vacuuming up targets.

40. Brandin Cooks, DAL

57 receptions, 699 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 117.1 points.

A reliable receiving threat with six 1,000-yard seasons, Cooks will be the WR2 on a high-end offence.

41. Courtland Sutton, DEN

64 receptions, 829 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 127.4 points.

Was a definite victim of Russell Wilson’s poor play, but there’s hope with new coach Sean Payton.

42. JuJu Smith-Schuster, NE

78 receptions, 933 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 150.3 points.

His move from the Chiefs to the Pats is a definite downgrade and he’s likely to operate in a similar role as Jakobi Meyers did.

43. Michael Thomas, NO

16 receptions, 171 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 43.1 points.

Has played just 10 games since setting the record for receptions in a season in 2019, but appears to be in good health now.

44. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, SEA

2023 rookie

Lining up alongside two star WRs puts a cap on JSN’s potential in his rookie season.

45. Skyy Moore, KC

22 receptions, 250 receiving yards, 38.4 points.

After a year mainly spent learning the Chiefs system, Moore is potential breakout candidate due to some free agent departures.

46. Rashod Bateman, BAL

15 receptions, 285 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 48 points.

Former first-rounder has played just 18 of a possible 33 games, but has potential to lead a revamped aerial attack.

47. Kadarius Toney, KC

16 receptions, 171 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 51.3 points.

Can be absolutely electric when he plays – as he showed in the Super Bowl – but that’s not very often.

48. Elijah Moore, CLE

37 receptions, 446 receiving yards, 1 TD, 69.6 points.

Brought over from the Jets this off-season, Moore was the overall WR3 in PPR during a six-week stretch last year.

49. Nico Collins, HOU

37 receptions, 481 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 78.6 points.

Of the top six Texans in targets last year, only Collins is back and should have a big role if healthy.

50. Jakobi Meyers, LV

67 receptions, 804 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 150.8 points.

Reunites with former OC Josh McDaniels, but his ceiling is as a WR2 in a pedestrian offence.

51. Quentin Johnson, LAC

2023 rookie

Considering the injury histories of Allen and Williams, this first-rounder is an excellent handcuff pick.

52. Donovan Peoples-Jones, CLE

61 receptions, 839 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 138.6 points.

From Week 4 on last year, DPJ actually had a solid 19.3% target share despite playing alongside Cooper.

53. Odell Beckham Jr., BAL

Did not play in 2022 (injured)

Hasn’t played since the Super Bowl in Feb. 2022, but his massive contract shows the Ravens believe he can still get it done.

54. Darnell Mooney, CHI

40 receptions, 493 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 81.5 points.

If Fields can improve as a passer and the Bears air it out, Mooney will be the deep threat he looks for.

55. Zay Flowers, BAL

2023 rookie

First-rounder should get plenty of opportunity in a new-look Ravens offence that will pass a lot more.

56. Allen Lazard, NYJ

60 receptions, 788 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 144.8 points.

One of Aaron Rodgers’ favourite targets follows him to the Jets, where he should remain a decent option.

57. Adam Thielen, CAR

70 receptions, 716 receiving yards, 6 TDs, 145 points.

Ex-Viking is the most proven option that the Panthers have and remains a solid red-zone threat.

58. Rondale Moore, ARI

41 receptions, 414 receiving yards, 1 TD, 67.4 points.

Has some WR2 upside if he can stay on the field and has proven capable in a high-volume role.

59. Marvin Mims Jr., DEN

2023 rookie

Denver’s training camp injuries have given this second-rounder a big chance to shine.

60. Jameson Williams, DET

1 receptions, 41 receiving yards, 1 TD, 14.6 points.

He’ll sit the first six weeks with a gambling suspension, but gambling the former first rounder may pay off in fantasy.

THE NEXT 10

Jonathan Mingo, CAR

2023 rookie

Tyler Boyd, CIN

58 receptions, 762 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 138.1 points.

Zay Jones, JAX

82 receptions, 823 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 157.1 points.

DJ Chark Jr., CAR

30 receptions, 502 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 83.2 points.

Romeo Doubs, GB

42 receptions, 425 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 82.6 points.

Corey Davis, NYJ

32 receptions, 536 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 81.6 points.

Curtis Samuel, WAS

64 receptions, 656 receiving yards, 5 TDs, 146.3 points.

Alec Pierce, IND

41 receptions, 593 receiving yards, 2 TDs, 91.8 points.

Rashid Shaheed, NO

28 receptions, 488 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 86.5 points.

Van Jefferson, LAR

24 receptions, 369 receiving yards, 3 TDs, 66.9 points.

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