The lines are from Covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
Minnesota -3 over L.A. RAMS
While they still would’ve had to drive another 80 or so yards and get the two-point convert to send it to OT, the Vikings have to be bitter about the missed facemask call on the game-ending safety.
Baltimore -9 over CLEVELAND
How much of the Browns’ problem was Deshaun Watson? We’re about to find out. But against arguably the league’s best team, we don’t have high hopes for Jameis Winston.
Indianapolis +5.5 over HOUSTON
There has been something off with the Texans offence and it started even before Nico Collins got hurt. The Colts have their own issues, but could be getting Jonathan Taylor back to solidify the run game.
Green Bay -4.5 over JACKSONVILLE
The Jags are back on home soil after splitting their two games in England, but beating the Pats doesn’t exactly endear us towards them when it’s a tough Packers team coming to town.
DETROIT -11.5 over Tennessee
The Titans starting to sell off their key players isn’t exactly a good sign to back them against a squad that we’ve seen be able to run up the score.
Atlanta -2.5 over TAMPA BAY
The Bucs season has come completely off the rails after losing Mike Evans and Chris Godwin on Monday night. They’re on short rest here and already lost to the Falcons just a few weeks ago.
NEW ENGLAND +7 over New York Jets
The Jets scored a big win at home when these teams met in Week 3, but now we get to see the Pats with Drake Maye at the helm and a couple of starts under his belt. At worst, we see a backdoor cover as a possibility.
Arizona +3.5 over MIAMI
Is getting Tua Tagovailoa back going to magically fix the Dolphins? Miami also has struggled on defence and the Cards come in on a high after winning a thriller on Monday night.
CINCINNATI -2.5 over Philadelphia
Could this one shape up to be a shootout? The Bengals passing attack should be able to shred the Eagles, but Philly’s run game may provide an answer. With the line under a field goal, we’ll take the hosts.
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L.A. CHARGERS -7.5 over New Orleans
The Saints have had some extra time to stew in their massive losses over the past few weeks. They’ll get a couple of reinforcements, but QB Derek Carr isn’t expected back for this one and that’s the one that matters most.
Buffalo -3 over SEATTLE
It’s a bit dicey spotting points in Seattle, but losing DK Metcalf for the week is a huge setback for the Seahawks offence in a game where they’ll need to try to keep up on the scoreboard.
Chicago -2.5 over WASHINGTON
Marcus Mariota is alright to come in against the lowly Panthers and look decent, but the Bears defence is a much stronger foe. So, without knowing if Jayden Daniels can play, we have to take the visitor. If he can go, he hasn’t practised yet and will be weary or reinjuring his ribs ahead a tough slate of division matchups.
Kansas City -10 over LAS VEGAS
The Raiders beat the Chiefs last year on Christmas, but that was just their third win over K.C. since 2014. The Chiefs haven’t been lighting it up on offence, but their defence has been on the next level and should stifle anything the Raiders try.
DENVER -9.5 over Carolina
Bryce Young getting another shot at starting with either revitalize the former top pick or seal his fate. It’s jus t a shame that he’s facing one of the league’s best defences.
SAN FRANCISCO -4.5 over Dallas
The stats don’t lie: The Cowboys rank 26th in DVOA on offence and 29th in defence. They’ve had tons of trouble stopping the run and the 49ers will likely focus on that after the injuries they suffered in the passing game.
New York Giants +6.5 over PITTSBURGH
The Steelers are much better as an underdog, but there’s no way that was going to happen at home vs. the Giants. We actually rate Big Blue as a better road team and their defensive front should apply pressure to Russell Wilson.
Last week: 7-8
This season: 49-56-2