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NFL WEEK 16 PICKS: Bengals likely to dominate Browns in Battle of Ohio

The lines are from Covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.

Denver +3.5 over L.A. CHARGERS

Every person who bet on the Broncos must’ve groaned when they lined up for the field goal on first down when down 10. Of course, it’s the smart thing to do, but we were hoping for the backdoor cover to come through.

Houston +3.5 over KANSAS CITY

Patrick Mahomes will press himself into action on a high ankle sprain, which doesn’t instill confidence to back a team that relies so much on his magic and a lot of luck.

BALTIMORE -6.5 over Pittsburgh

Will Lamar Jackson finally get the best of the Steelers? TJ Watt may play, but he’s ailing and the Steelers offence has not been good at all without George Pickens to stretch the field.

ATLANTA -8.5 over New York Giants

Maybe getting away from home will help the Giants? Nah, probably not against a Falcons team that should be reinvigorated by a QB change.

CINCINNATI -7.5 over Cleveland

Even with the Bengals defence playing like pylons, their offence is always good to rack up points. With DTR getting the start for the Browns, they’ve even taken away the excitement of watching Jameis Winston do his thing.

CHICAGO +6.5 over Detroit

Every week, the Lions get pushed even further past the threshold for injuries hurting their chances. The Bears will be hoping to atone for their Thanksgiving mistake in Detroit.

INDIANAPOLIS -3.5 over Tennessee

Some incredibly stupid decisions cost the Colts dearly in Denver. They should have those ironed out hosting the Titans with Mason Rudolph taking over for Will Levis.

Arizona -4.5 over CAROLINA

This has to be one of the shortest starting QB matchups ever, right? The big concern is how the Panthers – ranked worst in run defence by a wide margin – stop James Conner and the Cards run game.

Philadelphia -3.5 over WASHINGTON

The Commanders held strong against the Eagles earlier this season in Philly, but has since seen its offence start to slump down the stretch. On the other hand, the Eagles are flying high despite some locker-room drama.

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L.A. Rams -3.5 over NEW YORK JETS

If you think that the Jets have any sort of advantage in this one, where is it? The best-case scenario we see for Aaron Rodgers and Co. is that this turns into a shootout and the hosts get a sneaky cover, but it feels unlikely.

Minnesota -3.5 over SEATTLE

Geno Smith is likely to play, but will he be a sitting duck back there, under attack from the Vikings blitz-heavy defence?

BUFFALO -14.5 over New England

In their past three games, the Pats have lost by 13 and 19 to the Cards and Dolphins, respectively. Well, respectfully, the Bills are going to be out there running the score up against their division rival once again.

LAS VEGAS -1.5 over Jacksonville

This is undoubtedly the worst late-season matchup we could possibly get. In a true Sophie’s Choice, I guess we’ll take the home team?

San Francisco +1.5 over MIAMI

In a way, this is the ultimate test as to whether the 49ers are good or not. The Dolphins seemingly only beat good teams and this snake-bite Niners team is coming to South Florida with some extra rest under their belts.

Tampa Bay -4.5 over DALLAS

The Cowboys have just one win at home this season – against the lowly Giants – and have been awful against any sort of decent competition.

GREEN BAY -13.5 over New Orleans

Even if you’re giving me almost two full scores, I can’t get myself to back Spencer Rattler in prime time against a potential Super Bowl contender.

Last week: 8-8

This season: 115-107-2

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