The lines are from covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
CLEVELAND -4.5 over Pittsburgh
If this wasn’t curtains for Mitchell Trubisky with a few extra days for Kenny Pickett to prep, then his days are surely numbered.
Baltimore -2.5 over NEW ENGLAND
The Ravens blew it against the Dolphins last week and need to bounce back quick with a team that it has a good history against on tap. Lamar Jackson did everything he could but it was the defence that let him down. The Pats don’t have the weapons to exploit Baltimore the way Miami did last week.
Buffalo -6 over MIAMI
There’s a lot of buzz around both of these teams after some impressive starts to the season, but it’s hard to overlook the Bills’ dominance of the Fish over the past few years. Buffalo’s defence will be put to the test, but should pas it. Miami also has a Thursday night trip to Cincinnati to look ahead to.
NEW YORK JETS +5 over Cincinnati
The Bengals may have upgraded the O-line, but it’s not helping yet. Joe Burrow continues to be under constant pressure and the offence hasn’t really found its way. The Jets will surely nosedive soon, but Joe Flacco has been a surprisingly steady hand.
CAROLINA +3 over New Orleans
Jameis Winston looked like a QB that was playing through four back fractures against the Bucs and very much missed starting RB Alvin Kamara. The Panthers got Christian McCaffrey rolling last week and will look to continue that trend. Home dogs have a great record ATS this season, so we’ll bank the points.
Detroit +6 over MINNESOTA
The Lions offence has been rolling thanks to an offensive line that has really jelled. While the Vikings should bounce back from a rough outing on Monday night – especially at home – Detroit has shown an ability under Dan Campbell to keep things close and cover.
Kansas City -6.5 over INDIANAPOLIS
If there is one coach that the Chiefs have owned in recent years, it’s Gus Bradley – and guess who is Indy’s defensive coordinator. K.C. remains a September powerhouse while the Colts have struggled out of the gate. This could get ugly.
Las Vegas -2 over TENNESSEE
Derrick Henry has finally started to show the wear and tear of being a workhorse RB and without him gobbling up yards on the ground, the Titans offence just can’t thrive. Losing Taylor Lewan doesn’t help either and the defence will have trouble containing Davante Adams.
Philadelphia -6.5 over WASHINGTON
Is Carson Wentz back to his old form from his Philly days, when he was an MVP candidate? Probably not and he hasn’t really been tested. The Eagles offence can take over this game and it’s almost certain that their fans can take over Washington’s home field advantage.
Houston +2.5 over CHICAGO
Two bad teams meet here, both in the midst of a rebuild. There are few bright spots on either side, but the Texans have fared well against some supposed playoff contenders.
CHARGERS -7 over Jacksonville
The upstart Jags have surprised many so far this season – it certainly helps have an actual adult in charge. But there are too many advantages for the loaded Chargers here, including the extra rest they’ve had since playing last Thursday.
Green Bay +1 over TAMPA BAY
The Bucs are very banged up at WR and losing Mike Evans to suspension doesn’t help. They’ll have to run the ball against a good Packers defence, no easy task. It won’t be easy for Aaron Rodgers and Co. either, but we’ll back him here.
Atlanta +1 over SEATTLE
The Falcons stayed out West after a tight game against the Rams and now face a Seahawks team that has already won its Super Bowl. The Seahawks struggled mightily against the 49ers while the Falcons certainly seem like a feisty dog.
ARIZONA +3.5 over L.A. Rams
Did the Cards find their way against the Raiders late last week? The Rams were blown out in the opener and then nearly coughed it up to the Falcons. With such volatile teams involved, taking the home dog seems like the safer option.
San Francisco +1.5 over DENVER
The Broncos have been a disaster in game management under Nathaniel Hackett and Russell Wilson hasn’t exactly been lighting it up either. While there is the old Mile High advantage to consider, the Niners defence should be able to limit the Broncos run game led by Javonte Williams.
Dallas +1 over NEW YORK GIANTS
The Cowboys defence looks like it hasn’t fallen off since last season, though the offence is obviously worrying. But in a matchup between Cooper Rush and Daniel Jones, is there really much advantage in taking the hosts here?
Last week: 7-9
This season: 15-17
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