The lines are from Covers.com and the home teams are in CAPs.
NEW YORK JETS -2.5 over Houston
Until the Texans get Nico Collins back, that offence is officially on fraud alert. Aaron Rodgers and the Jets struggled mightily in the first half, but capped it off well. Can they keep that going though?
BUFFALO -6 over Miami
It’s pretty hard to believe that the Dolphins are going to be that much better than they were when they hosted the Bills back in Week 2 and dominated 31-10. Buffalo has had its AFC East rival’s number for a while and surely will this week.
ATLANTA -2.5 over Dallas
Pay no attention to the final scoreline from Sunday night, the Cowboys weren’t that competitive against the 49ers and probably deserve to be a bigger dog in this game.
New Orleans -7.5 over CAROLINA
On one hand, the Saints have lost six in a row and looked awful doing so. But Derek Carr returns and they seriously missed their starting QB, who helped light up this Panthers defence when it was still at full strength in Week 1.
CINCINNATI -7.5 over Las Vegas
The Bengals certainly have some flaws on defence, but this Raiders team isn’t exactly one that can exploit them. The home team should cruise in this one.
Denver +9.5 over BALTIMORE
Does this just seem like too many points? The Broncos defence is legit while the Ravens have been exploitable in that area. Why can’t this one be a close win for the hosts?
NEW YORK GIANTS +3.5 over Washington
If not for some stupid roster management, the Giants probably would’ve won in Washington earlier this year. At the very least, you’d expect them to be able to keep it close at home this time.
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CLEVELAND +2 over L.A. Chargers
While Jameis Winston gets a lot of credit for making the Browns offence look a lot better, the offensive line is improving too, which is very much needed against this strong Chargers squad.
TENNESSEE -3.5 over New England
Just when Drake Maye was providing some hope for the Pats offence, he suffers a concussion and we’re back to Jacoby Brissett. The Titans defence should be able to hold off Brissett and Co. while the Pats defence has been a bit rough.
PHILADELPHIA -7.5 over Jacksonville
Have we actually been wrong about the Eagles? Looking at Philly from a different angle, they could actually be undefeated coming into this game while the Jags have lost key pieces on offence.
Chicago +1 over ARIZONA
The Bears completely blew it last week and but have a chance to bounce back against a team that has really scraped out the past two wins. Caleb Williams will have a much easier time against this defence.
Detroit -3.5 over GREEN BAY
Going on the road to face a division rival is always tough, but the Packers are really banged up, with a slew of starters on offence missing practice this week.
L.A. Rams -1.5 over SEATTLE
Until we know for sure that D.K. Metcalf will play, we can’t back the Seahawks. The Rams offence is back to full strength and could explode against a banged-up Seattle secondary.
Indianapolis +5.5 over MINNESOTA
The two major developments that swing this one in Indy’s favour for us: Joe Flacco, a real adult, starting over Anthony Richardson who remains too raw for now, plus the Vikings losing left tackle Christian Darrisaw for the season, which significantly weakens their line.
Tampa Bay +8.5 over KANSAS CITY
The Bucs situation at WR isn’t too dire, with some decent depth behind their two studs. The Chiefs defence will stifle their running game, but their offence doesn’t exactly set the scoreboard on fire.
Last week: 9-7
This season: 57-64-2